Rupee vs Yuan: Currency rivalry through a Goan lens

Vasant Pednekar | 22nd September, 01:01 am

At Mormugao Port in Vasco da Gama, giant ships unload coal, iron ore, and fertilisers, while others sail out with exports like pharmaceuticals and seafood. The paperwork has usually been in dollars, but trading circles in Goa are now discussing whether future contracts will shift to Rupees or Yuan. This quiet change in currency use touches the very lifelines of Goa’s economy.

The Yuan has long had an edge in global trade, backed by China’s role as the “world’s factory.” Across Africa and Latin America, the Yuan is used in deals under Beijing’s Belt and Road Initiative. The Rupee, once a domestic player, is expanding after the Reserve Bank of India allowed international trade settlements in Rupees. For Goan exporters of iron ore, pharma, and cashews, the question of invoices in Rupees or Yuan is no longer just foreign policy — it affects business profits.

Tourism also reflects this rivalry. With Chinese tourists travelling abroad and Indian tourism growing, both currencies are gaining ground. Imagine hotels in Goa accepting not just Rupees but also Yuan, encouraging higher spending. In a state where every third family is linked to tourism, such acceptance shapes business like the tides shape the coast.

Goa’s seafaring community adds another dimension. Remittances from sailors have long come in Dollars or Euros, familiar in Salcete and Bardez. But with Rupee settlements encouraged and Yuan-based trade growing, families may soon receive money directly in Rupees, bypassing Dollar intermediaries. That would mean fewer conversion losses and stronger Rupee presence in local homes.

Importers in Goa also face choices. If Chinese suppliers insist on Yuan, businesses will juggle between Rupees and Yuan. This dual exposure complicates planning for small and medium enterprises but also gives new bargaining power.

Energy trade is key for Goa’s industries, which depend heavily on imported coal and fuel. If India pays for Russian oil in Rupees, Goa’s industries may benefit from reduced volatility. But if Yuan dominates, costs could rise, with higher power tariffs affecting households and businesses.

Technology offers another twist. China has pioneered the digital Yuan, tested in cross-border payments. India is piloting a digital Rupee, building on UPI, already used daily in Goa, from Mapusa markets to Panaji restaurants. If the digital Rupee gains international use, Goan startups, exporters, and even students could transact with ease. For Goa’s tech-savvy youth, this digital rivalry could shape how they pay, save, and invest.

Challenges remain. The Yuan struggles with trust, being closely tied to Beijing’s policies. The Rupee struggles with limited acceptance. A Goan cashew exporter may prefer billing in Rupees, but will an African client agree? Without deeper international roots, the Rupee’s reach will stay limited.

Regional cooperation could shift the balance. India pushes Rupee settlements in Sri Lanka and Nepal, while China spreads Yuan networks in Africa and Latin America. For Goa, trading across both regions, navigating two systems may become the norm. Businesses may peg deals to whichever currency offers better stability and reach.

The rivalry even affects education. Goa sends hundreds of students abroad each year, and currency strength shapes their dreams. A stronger Rupee means lower tuition abroad, while a stronger Yuan could change scholarships and partnerships. For Goan colleges, the Rupee-Yuan story is tied to student opportunities.

This competition is not about one currency dominating the other but about a multipolar order. For Goa, connected globally through trade, tourism, and migration, the stakes are high. From a seafarer’s remittance to a beach shack’s customer, from a student’s tuition to an exporter’s deal, the Rupee-Yuan contest touches Goan households more than most realise.

The next time a Goan shipping agent tallies freight in Rupees or a seafood exporter negotiates in Yuan, remember — these are not just transactions. They are part of a global contest between two Asian currencies. And Goa, with its unique local identity and global links, will remain a quiet but important stage.

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