Post-poll analysis shows BJP-MGP ahead of combined Opposition
PANAJI
The outcome of the just concluded Zilla Panchayat (ZP) elections has punctured the Opposition’s oft-repeated claim that the BJP’s sweeping victory was solely due to a fragmented anti-BJP vote. A closer analysis of vote-share data reveals that even a hypothetical alliance of the Congress, Goa Forward Party (GFP), Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) and Revolutionary Goans Party (RGP) would not have been enough to unseat the ruling party from its dominant position.
The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), contesting the elections largely on its own strength, emerged as the single largest force with a commanding vote share of 40.63 per cent, translating into victories in 29 of the 40 seats it contested. The party garnered more than 2.5 lakh votes, underlining its extensive grassroots reach across both North and South Goa.
The Congress, which finished a distant second, secured a vote share of 18.93 per cent, winning 10 seats out of the 35 constituencies it contested. The party secured almost 1.16 lakh votes. While the party improved marginally over its previous performance, wherein it had won only 4 seats in 2020, the numbers fell well short of posing a serious challenge to the BJP.
The Revolutionary Goans Party, which had raised expectations in select pockets, polled 9.15 per cent of the votes which comes to 56,331. The Goa Forward Party, contesting ZP elections for the first time, managed a modest 4.96 per cent vote share with total votes of 30,573.
The Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) – who was first to decline the alliance, despite fielding 43 candidates, could muster only 5.35 per cent of the vote share and failed to make any electoral impact. They got total 32,995 votes.
The Maharashtrawadi Gomantak Party (MGP), BJP’s ally, contested just three seats and won all three, accounting for 2.96 per cent of the overall votes and total vote of 23,646. Independent candidates together secured around 17 per cent of the votes- over 1.3 lakh.
When the numbers are combined, the picture becomes clearer. Even if the Congress, GFP, AAP and RGP had fought the polls together, their cumulative vote share would have stood at 38.39 per cent, still well below the 44.47 per cent secured by the BJP–MGP combine. This gap underscores that the BJP’s victory was rooted more in its consolidated support base than in Opposition disunity.
